INTRODUCTION
In South America there are still many prevalent reasons to estimate the probability of new conflict episodes among nations. The possibilities to face conflict situations have been sparked since the Malvinas islands’ war in 1982, but at the same time, they have been underestimated due to the fact that the south cone has been showing at the majority of the time as a peaceful and friendly neighbourhood. However, between Colombia and Venezuela has subsisted a legal and prolonged controversy due to the legitimacy of the demarcation lines and the claims about the golf of Venezuela and the archipelago known as “Los monjes”. Moreover, is significant that Venezuelan government with his current president Hugo Chavez, put more attention to waste the enormous quantity of oil’s profits in an armament programme than the current and increasingly index of poverty and many other social problems.The Stockholm International Peace Research institute (SIPRI) which is an organization that constantly research the global performance in terms of geopolitical issues, argue that South America, could face some conflicts and the incidence of them strongly depends on the military potential, the tension level and the impact of the arms purchase (Child 1985, pp 04), furthermore, depend of strategic and questionable alliances and the political beliefs. These aspects have a wide significance when the possible effects, that a country’s peculiar political behaviour, are analysed.One of the most irregular political behaviour for instance is the Venezuelan case, which has led a new form of socialism in South America and part of Central America. This government style has sparks many concerns in the whole region, due to, the Anti-American disco…
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…uency finds a good alternative to acquire in easy way the need weapons. Moreover also the trafficking of armament will increase in the region and the neighbouring nations would be affected. The affectation by this possible phenomenon may be incontrollable and will destabilise the national security. The most probable victim is Colombia which whit the current support of North America has become a potential enemy to Venezuela and its socialist system in progress.So politically the relationship will be remarkable by a mistrust climate of transparency and confidence between both countries. First, the Venezuelan political system is not accepted by current Colombian government and vice versa, so the Chavez and his controversial new socialism will be waiting for a weak president in Colombia, who accept his government system and could be consolidate his revolution.
